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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Buchnevich vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.

Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Buchnevich has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.

Timo Meier has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Buchnevich's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Goals above expected −0.4, On-ice PDO 1000.

Meier's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.14, Hits 131, Top skating speed 22.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Buchnevich

1.30

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBuchnevichMeier
Goals (+2)0.460.58
Assists (+1)0.320.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.35
Hits (+0.1)0.030.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BuchnevichMeier
8Team record in 12 meetings4
9Points in those games12

Buchnevich 2G 7A, 17 SOG · Meier 6G 6A, 51 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Buchnevich blocked 0 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 1 of Buchnevich's.

On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)

12:43 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side

Shot attempts
8–16
33.3%
Expected goals
0.1–0.8
13.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Buchnevich and Timo Meier
DateScoreBuchnevichMeier
2026-02-28STL 1–3 NJD1G 0A 2S1G 0A 8S
2025-11-26STL 2–3 NJD0G 1A 1S1G 1A 6S
2024-12-17STL 1–4 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-07STL 1–4 NJD0G 0A 2S3G 1A 7S
2023-11-03STL 4–1 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 7S
2022-11-10STL 5–3 SJS0G 2A 1S1G 0A 4S
2022-04-21STL 3–1 SJS1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2021-11-18STL 4–1 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 1A 5S
2020-02-22NYR 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2019-12-12NYR 6–3 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2018-10-11NYR 3–2 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2018-01-25NYR 6–5 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BuchnevichMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Buchnevich

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Buchnevich and Meier done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 8–4. Buchnevich had 9 points (2 goals) and Meier had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →