Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Expected goals 52.5%, Sequence xG 52.5%, High-danger chances 50.1%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.38.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 7G 11A, 27 SOG · Dunn 4G 6A, 41 SOG
Buchnevich blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 2 of Buchnevich's.
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
13:46 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–13
- 43.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.4
- 63.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | STL 3–2 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2026-02-26 | STL 5–1 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-08 | STL 3–4 SEA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-12 | STL 3–4 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-25 | STL 7–2 SEA | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-08 | STL 3–2 SEA | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-01-26 | STL 4–3 SEA | 2G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-10-14 | STL 2–1 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2023-02-28 | STL 3–5 SEA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-12-20 | STL 2–5 SEA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-06 | STL 4–1 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-21 | STL 5–0 SEA | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Dunn done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 11–8. Buchnevich had 18 points (7 goals) and Dunn had 10 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →