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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Dorofeyev vs Seth Jarvis

Pavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wingvsSeth JarvisSeth JarvisHurricanes · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Dorofeyev has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has no games left. We project Dorofeyev for 1.4 ESPN points to Jarvis's 0.0.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, High-danger chances 59.2%, On-ice PDO 995.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40, Hits 81.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDorofeyevJarvis
Goals (+2)0.900.90
Assists (+1)0.330.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.32
Hits (+0.1)0.030.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dorofeyev vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DorofeyevJarvis
4Team record in 10 meetings6
6Points in those games7

Dorofeyev 5G 1A, 32 SOG · Jarvis 4G 3A, 22 SOG

On the ice against each other (Dorofeyev's side)

24:20 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Dorofeyev's side

Shot attempts
38–25
60.3%
Expected goals
2.1–1.2
64.0%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Dorofeyev and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreDorofeyevJarvis
2026-06-14 · POVGK 0–3 CAR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 2S
2026-06-11 · POVGK 2–4 CAR2G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S
2026-06-09 · POVGK 3–5 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-06-06 · POVGK 5–4 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-06-04 · POVGK 3–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-06-02 · POVGK 5–4 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-28VGK 6–3 CAR2G 0A 9S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-20VGK 4–1 CAR1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-17VGK 2–3 CAR0G 1A 1S2G 0A 3S
2023-12-19VGK 3–6 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DorofeyevJarvis

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Seth Jarvis

3games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Dorofeyev or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. Dorofeyev had 64 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Dorofeyev or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dorofeyev and Jarvis done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Dorofeyev's team went 4–6. Dorofeyev had 6 points (5 goals) and Jarvis had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →