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Who to start · 2025-26

Pavel Zacha vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.

Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Zacha has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.8.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Zacha's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +68, Goals above expected +7.4.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40.

Head to head on the dot, Zacha leads Jarvis 8–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Pavel Zacha

1.78

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromZachaJarvis
Goals (+2)0.770.90
Assists (+1)0.450.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.32
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Zacha vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZachaJarvis
6Team record in 16 meetings10
14Points in those games10

Zacha 2G 12A, 27 SOG · Jarvis 4G 6A, 41 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other6

Zacha's offensive zone 7–2 · neutral 1–0 · Zacha's defensive zone 0–4 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Zacha's side)

19:44 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Zacha's side

Shot attempts
15–29
34.1%
Expected goals
0.9–1.2
43.5%
Goals
3–1

Games against each other

Games between Pavel Zacha and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreZachaJarvis
2026-04-07BOS 5–6 CAR1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-17BOS 1–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-11-01BOS 2–1 CAR0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2025-04-05BOS 5–1 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-06BOS 2–3 CAR0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2024-10-31BOS 2–8 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 2A 3S
2024-04-09BOS 1–4 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2024-04-04BOS 4–1 CAR0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-24BOS 2–3 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-26BOS 4–3 CAR0G 1A 5S0G 0A 6S
2023-01-29BOS 1–4 CAR0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2022-11-25BOS 3–2 CAR0G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZachaJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Pavel Zacha

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Pavel Zacha or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Pavel Zacha or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zacha and Jarvis done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, Zacha's team went 6–10. Zacha had 14 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 10 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Zacha or Jarvis?
Against each other, Zacha has won 8 and Jarvis 6 of their 14 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →