Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Zacha vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.
Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Zacha has 1 game left; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Zacha's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 524, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.019, On-ice PDO 1036.
Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, High-danger chances 56.3%, Expected goals 55.1%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Zacha
1.70
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Zacha | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Zacha vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Zacha 2G 9A, 38 SOG · Wilson 6G 14A, 59 SOG
Zacha's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Zacha's defensive zone 2–0 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Zacha's side)
8:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Zacha's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–8
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 54.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Zacha | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | BOS 3–2 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-07 | BOS 3–1 WSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-08 | BOS 3–1 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-04-01 | BOS 3–4 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-31 | BOS 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 5S |
| 2024-12-23 | BOS 4–1 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-15 | BOS 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-02-10 | BOS 0–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-11 | BOS 5–2 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2022-01-02 | NJD 4–3 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-10-21 | NJD 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2021-04-04 | NJD 4–5 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Zacha
3games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Zacha or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Zacha had 65 points in 78 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Zacha or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Zacha and Wilson done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Zacha's team went 9–18. Zacha had 11 points (2 goals) and Wilson had 20 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Zacha or Wilson?
- Against each other, Zacha has won 2 and Wilson 0 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →