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Who to start · 2025-26

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sebastian Aho

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · CentrevsSebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Top skating speed 22.8, Blocked shots 31.

Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Scoring chances 57.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Nugent-Hopkins 10–9.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromNugent-HopkinsAho
Goals (+2)0.560.68
Assists (+1)0.500.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.25
Hits (+0.1)0.030.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

Nugent-HopkinsAho
5Team record in 14 meetings9
12Points in those games25

Nugent-Hopkins 3G 9A, 29 SOG · Aho 9G 16A, 50 SOG

9Faceoffs against each other10

Nugent-Hopkins's offensive zone 5–2 · neutral 1–4 · Nugent-Hopkins's defensive zone 3–4 (2018-19 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Nugent-Hopkins blocked 0 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Nugent-Hopkins's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)

6:10 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side

Shot attempts
4–9
30.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
42.2%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreNugent-HopkinsAho
2026-03-06EDM 3–6 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-01EDM 3–1 CAR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-22EDM 2–3 CAR0G 1A 2S1G 1A 9S
2023-12-06EDM 6–1 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22EDM 3–6 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-10EDM 2–7 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2022-10-20EDM 6–4 CAR1G 3A 2S0G 3A 2S
2021-12-11EDM 1–3 CAR1G 0A 3S2G 1A 5S
2020-02-16EDM 4–3 CAR0G 0A 2S2G 1A 6S
2019-12-10EDM 3–6 CAR1G 0A 4S2G 0A 4S
2019-02-15EDM 1–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 5S
2019-01-20EDM 4–7 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 3A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

Nugent-HopkinsAho

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Nugent-Hopkins and Aho done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 5–9. Nugent-Hopkins had 12 points (3 goals) and Aho had 25 (9 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Nugent-Hopkins or Aho?
Against each other, Nugent-Hopkins has won 9 and Aho 10 of their 19 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →