Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Thomas Harley
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games.
This week Nugent-Hopkins has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Harley has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Hardest shot 88.5, Offensive-zone time 46.0%.
Harley's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1010, Blocked shots 148, 20+ mph bursts 50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Thomas Harley
1.92
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nugent-Hopkins | Harley |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.17 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 1.06 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nugent-Hopkins vs Harley
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nugent-Hopkins 4G 14A, 31 SOG · Harley 1G 10A, 30 SOG
Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Harley's shots; Harley blocked 3 of Nugent-Hopkins's.
On the ice against each other (Nugent-Hopkins's side)
7:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Nugent-Hopkins's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–6
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.2
- 73.2%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nugent-Hopkins | Harley |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | EDM 2–7 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-04 | EDM 3–4 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-29 · PO | EDM 6–3 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-05-27 · PO | EDM 4–1 DAL | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-05-25 · PO | EDM 6–1 DAL | 0G 3A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-23 · PO | EDM 3–0 DAL | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-21 · PO | EDM 3–6 DAL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-26 | EDM 3–4 DAL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-03-08 | EDM 5–4 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-19 | EDM 1–4 DAL | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-06-02 · PO | EDM 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-31 · PO | EDM 3–1 DAL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
Latest 12 of 19 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Thomas Harley
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Thomas Harley in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Nugent-Hopkins had 56 points in 72 games; Harley had 36 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Thomas Harley?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nugent-Hopkins and Harley done against each other?
- In 19 games against each other in our data, Nugent-Hopkins's team went 10–9. Nugent-Hopkins had 18 points (4 goals) and Harley had 11 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →