Who to start · 2025-26
Ryan O'Reilly vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week O'Reilly has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.0 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1023, Luck Meter +52, Blocked shots 66.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Hits 81, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Ryan O'Reilly
1.98
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | O'Reilly | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.62 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.41 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: O'Reilly vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
O'Reilly 4G 5A, 21 SOG · Jarvis 5G 5A, 21 SOG
O'Reilly's offensive zone 4–0 · neutral 0–0 · O'Reilly's defensive zone 1–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (O'Reilly's side)
7:04 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from O'Reilly's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–7
- 65.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.6
- 60.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | O'Reilly | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | NSH 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2025-12-06 | NSH 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-03-25 | NSH 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-12-23 | NSH 5–2 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-12-27 | NSH 2–5 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-15 | NSH 6–5 CAR | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-12-01 | STL 4–6 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | STL 2–7 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-13 | STL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Ryan O'Reilly or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. O'Reilly had 74 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Ryan O'Reilly or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have O'Reilly and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, O'Reilly's team went 3–6. O'Reilly had 9 points (4 goals) and Jarvis had 10 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, O'Reilly or Jarvis?
- Against each other, O'Reilly has won 5 and Jarvis 1 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →