Who to start · 2025-26
Sam Reinhart vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Reinhart had 61 points in 64 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Reinhart has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Reinhart's 2.1.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Reinhart's biggest edges: Blocked shots 40, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.016, Luck Meter −5.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Penalty minutes 46, 20+ mph bursts 128.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Reinhart 33–18.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sam Reinhart
2.13
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sam Reinhart has the edge.
| Points per game from | Reinhart | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Reinhart vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Reinhart 4G 17A, 62 SOG · Aho 13G 16A, 89 SOG
Reinhart's offensive zone 6–7 · neutral 2–2 · Reinhart's defensive zone 10–24 (2021-22 to 2026-27)
Reinhart blocked 4 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 1 of Reinhart's.
On the ice against each other (Reinhart's side)
25:14 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Reinhart's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–23
- 28.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.7
- 41.5%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Reinhart | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | FLA 1–0 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-16 | FLA 1–9 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-12-23 | FLA 5–2 CAR | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4–3 CAR | 1G 1A 5S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-28 · PO | FLA 5–3 CAR | 0G 2A 0S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-22 · PO | FLA 5–0 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-05-20 · PO | FLA 5–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-02 | FLA 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-30 | FLA 6–0 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-29 | FLA 6–3 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-14 | FLA 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-22 | FLA 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 7S | 1G 0A 4S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sam Reinhart
3games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ CAROpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ SJSOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ ANA2.1 ptsLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sam Reinhart or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sam Reinhart projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Reinhart had 61 points in 64 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sam Reinhart or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Reinhart and Aho done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, Reinhart's team went 16–13. Reinhart had 21 points (4 goals) and Aho had 29 (13 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Reinhart or Aho?
- Against each other, Reinhart has won 18 and Aho 33 of their 51 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →