Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Meier's 1.9.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Penalty minutes 46.

Meier's biggest edges: Blocked shots 53, Transition attempts /60 2.14, Hits 131.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoMeier
Goals (+2)0.720.58
Assists (+1)0.590.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.35
Hits (+0.1)0.070.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoMeier
21Team record in 31 meetings10
30Points in those games16

Aho 14G 16A, 81 SOG · Meier 10G 6A, 98 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other0

Aho's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Aho's defensive zone 4–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)

2Hits on each other6
0Shots blocked by the other2

Aho blocked 0 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 2 of Aho's.

On the ice against each other (Aho's side)

14:02 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side

Shot attempts
14–12
53.8%
Expected goals
0.9–0.7
54.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Sebastian Aho and Timo Meier
DateScoreAhoMeier
2026-03-28CAR 5–2 NJD0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2026-01-17CAR 4–1 NJD0G 3A 0S1G 0A 7S
2026-01-04CAR 3–1 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-09CAR 6–3 NJD0G 2A 3S0G 0A 5S
2025-04-29 · POCAR 5–4 NJD2G 1A 7S1G 0A 5S
2025-04-27 · POCAR 5–2 NJD0G 2A 0S1G 1A 3S
2025-04-25 · POCAR 2–3 NJD1G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-04-22 · POCAR 3–1 NJD0G 1A 0S0G 0A 5S
2025-04-20 · POCAR 4–1 NJD0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-28CAR 5–2 NJD1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-12-27CAR 2–4 NJD0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-21CAR 2–4 NJD0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 31 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Aho and Meier done against each other?
In 31 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 21–10. Aho had 30 points (14 goals) and Meier had 16 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Meier?
Against each other, Aho has won 5 and Meier 0 of their 5 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →