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Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Trevor Zegras

Sebastian AhoSebastian AhoHurricanes · CentrevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 50.5%, Draw Equity /100 +0.005, Hardest shot 89.2.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, On-ice PDO 1016, Luck Meter +22.

Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Zegras 18–13.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoZegras
Goals (+2)0.720.57
Assists (+1)0.590.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.19
Hits (+0.1)0.070.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoZegras
10Team record in 13 meetings3
3Points in those games11

Aho 1G 2A, 19 SOG · Zegras 4G 7A, 24 SOG

18Faceoffs against each other13

Aho's offensive zone 4–1 · neutral 10–5 · Aho's defensive zone 4–7 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

2Shots blocked by the other0

Aho blocked 2 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Aho's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Aho's side)

37:47 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side

Shot attempts
39–30
56.5%
Expected goals
1.7–1.3
56.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Sebastian Aho and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreAhoZegras
2026-05-09 · POCAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2026-05-07 · POCAR 4–1 PHI0G 1A 0S1G 0A 2S
2026-05-04 · POCAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-05-02 · POCAR 3–0 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-12-14CAR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2025-12-13CAR 4–3 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 1A 1S
2025-10-11CAR 4–3 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-23CAR 5–2 ANA0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-10-15CAR 3–6 ANA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-02-25CAR 2–3 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 2A 0S
2022-12-06CAR 3–4 ANA1G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2022-04-10CAR 5–2 ANA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.2 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Aho and Zegras done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 10–3. Aho had 3 points (1 goals) and Zegras had 11 (4 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Zegras?
Against each other, Aho has won 18 and Zegras 13 of their 31 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →