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Who to start · 2025-26

Sebastian Aho vs Vasily Podkolzin

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91.

Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games.

This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Podkolzin has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Podkolzin's 1.3.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Aho's biggest edges: Power-play time per game 3:06, Faceoffs won 596, Power-play points 26.

Podkolzin's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Ascension score 78, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.006.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 3 G, 1 A, 3 PPP, 11 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Vasily Podkolzin

1.91

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromAhoPodkolzin
Goals (+2)0.720.76
Assists (+1)0.590.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.10
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.250.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.30
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Aho vs Podkolzin

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

AhoPodkolzin
4Team record in 6 meetings2
6Points in those games1

Aho 4G 2A, 27 SOG · Podkolzin 1G 0A, 3 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Aho's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Aho's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23)

On the ice against each other (Aho's side)

6:41 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side

Shot attempts
8–2
80.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.1
43.2%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Sebastian Aho and Vasily Podkolzin
DateScoreAhoPodkolzin
2026-03-06CAR 6–3 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-11-15CAR 3–4 EDM0G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-01CAR 1–3 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-10-22CAR 3–2 EDM1G 1A 9S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-24CAR 3–2 VAN1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-01-15CAR 4–1 VAN1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

AhoPodkolzin

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Vasily Podkolzin

3games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Sebastian Aho or Vasily Podkolzin in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vasily Podkolzin's 1.91. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Podkolzin had 37 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Vasily Podkolzin?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Aho and Podkolzin done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 4–2. Aho had 6 points (4 goals) and Podkolzin had 1 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Podkolzin?
Against each other, Aho has won 1 and Podkolzin 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →