Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Vincent Trocheck
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Trocheck has 2 left. We project Trocheck for 4.0 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Expected goals 55.1%, Sequence xG 55.1%, Plus/minus +11.
Trocheck's biggest edges: Luck Meter +48, Goals above expected +1.7, On-ice PDO 1022.
Head to head on the dot, Trocheck leads Aho 93–80.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Vincent Trocheck
2.00
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.31 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.37 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Trocheck
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 8G 18A, 66 SOG · Trocheck 5G 12A, 83 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 41–40 · neutral 14–24 · Aho's defensive zone 25–29 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
Aho blocked 0 of Trocheck's shots; Trocheck blocked 1 of Aho's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
25:49 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 38–11
- 77.6%
- Expected goals
- 1.3–0.5
- 71.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Trocheck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | CAR 2–0 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3–2 NYR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2–4 NYR | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-12 | CAR 7–3 NYR | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-01-28 | CAR 4–0 NYR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-22 | CAR 3–1 NYR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-11-27 | CAR 4–3 NYR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | CAR 3–5 NYR | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | CAR 4–1 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | CAR 4–3 NYR | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | CAR 2–3 NYR | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | CAR 3–4 NYR | 0G 3A 7S | 1G 1A 6S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
Vincent Trocheck
3games (2 left)
4.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.9 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Vincent Trocheck in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vincent Trocheck's 2.00. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Trocheck had 53 in 67 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Vincent Trocheck?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Trocheck done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 16–12. Aho had 26 points (8 goals) and Trocheck had 17 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Trocheck?
- Against each other, Aho has won 80 and Trocheck 93 of their 173 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →