Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Vladislav Gavrikov
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left; Gavrikov has 1 left. We project Aho for 1.8 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.3.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Plus/minus +11, Fenwick 60.3%, Expected goals 55.1%.
Gavrikov's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.0, Top skating speed 23.0, Luck Meter +49.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Vladislav Gavrikov
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Gavrikov |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.21 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.03 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.78 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Gavrikov
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 8G 14A, 65 SOG · Gavrikov 2G 8A, 25 SOG
Aho blocked 1 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 2 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
27:44 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 33–17
- 66.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.6
- 56.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Gavrikov |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | CAR 2–0 NYR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-29 | CAR 3–2 NYR | 1G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-26 | CAR 2–4 NYR | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-04 | CAR 3–0 NYR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-22 | CAR 2–7 LAK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-02-01 | CAR 2–4 LAK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-15 | CAR 2–5 LAK | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-10-14 | CAR 6–5 LAK | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-12 | CAR 6–2 CBJ | 0G 2A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-07 | CAR 3–4 CBJ | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-12 | CAR 4–1 CBJ | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-25 | CAR 4–0 CBJ | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Vladislav Gavrikov
4games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Vladislav Gavrikov?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Gavrikov done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 14–12. Aho had 22 points (8 goals) and Gavrikov had 10 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →