Who to start · 2025-26
Sebastian Aho vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week Aho has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to Aho's 2.2.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 20 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Aho's biggest edges: Corsi 61.5%, Fenwick 60.3%, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
Johnston's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.9, On-ice PDO 1026, Blocked shots 55.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Johnston 14–14.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Wyatt Johnston has the edge.
| Points per game from | Aho | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.72 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.59 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Aho vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Aho 4G 4A, 11 SOG · Johnston 3G 3A, 18 SOG
Aho's offensive zone 3–7 · neutral 5–2 · Aho's defensive zone 6–5 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Aho blocked 0 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 1 of Aho's.
On the ice against each other (Aho's side)
12:02 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Aho's side
- Shot attempts
- 20–11
- 64.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.6–0.8
- 65.7%
- Goals
- 3–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Aho | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | CAR 6–3 DAL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-25 | CAR 2–3 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-01-21 | CAR 2–1 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-11-25 | CAR 6–4 DAL | 1G 3A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2024-02-24 | CAR 1–2 DAL | 1G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-02-13 | CAR 2–4 DAL | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-25 | CAR 3–2 DAL | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Sebastian Aho or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Wyatt Johnston projects to 2.41 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Aho had 80 points in 79 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Sebastian Aho or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 20 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Aho and Johnston done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Aho's team went 4–3. Aho had 8 points (4 goals) and Johnston had 6 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Aho or Johnston?
- Against each other, Aho has won 14 and Johnston 14 of their 28 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →