Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Seth Jarvis vs Tom Wilson

Seth JarvisSeth JarvisHurricanes · Right wingvsTom WilsonTom WilsonCapitals · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.

This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40, Offensive-zone start % 69.0%.

Wilson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1017, Penalty minutes 117, Blocked shots 53.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Tom Wilson

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromJarvisWilson
Goals (+2)0.900.83
Assists (+1)0.480.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.08
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.040.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.320.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.25
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.37

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Seth Jarvis and Tom Wilson have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

JarvisWilson

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.1 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Tom Wilson

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Seth Jarvis or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Tom Wilson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →