Who to start · 2025-26
Seth Jarvis vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Jarvis has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Plus/minus +6, Top skating speed 23.4.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, High-danger chances 59.2%, Blocked shots 45.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Jarvis | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.90 | 0.59 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Jarvis vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Jarvis 5G 6A, 35 SOG · Hertl 4G 8A, 30 SOG
Jarvis's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 0–0 · Jarvis's defensive zone 3–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Jarvis's side)
26:09 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from Jarvis's side
- Shot attempts
- 26–26
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.1
- 45.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Jarvis | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 · PO | CAR 3–0 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-06-11 · PO | CAR 4–2 VGK | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-06-09 · PO | CAR 5–3 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-06-06 · PO | CAR 4–5 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2026-06-04 · PO | CAR 4–3 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2026-06-02 · PO | CAR 4–5 VGK | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-28 | CAR 3–6 VGK | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-20 | CAR 1–4 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-17 | CAR 3–2 VGK | 2G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3–0 SJS | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-10-17 | CAR 6–3 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-01-27 | CAR 5–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Seth Jarvis or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Jarvis had 66 points in 71 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Seth Jarvis or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Jarvis and Hertl done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Jarvis's team went 10–5. Jarvis had 11 points (5 goals) and Hertl had 12 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Jarvis or Hertl?
- Against each other, Jarvis has won 4 and Hertl 2 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →