Who to start · 2025-26
Tage Thompson vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Thompson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Thompson for 2.6 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tage Thompson has the better number in 18 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Thompson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1014, Luck Meter +13, 20+ mph bursts 176.
Hertl's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.096, Faceoff win % 57.8%, High-danger chances 59.2%.
Head to head on the dot, Hertl leads Thompson 25–17.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tage Thompson
2.26
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tage Thompson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Thompson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Thompson vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Thompson 2G 6A, 39 SOG · Hertl 4G 4A, 27 SOG
Thompson's offensive zone 1–10 · neutral 8–10 · Thompson's defensive zone 8–5 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
Thompson blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Thompson's.
On the ice against each other (Thompson's side)
5:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Thompson's side
- Shot attempts
- 1–10
- 9.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.3
- 24.1%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Thompson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | BUF 2–0 VGK | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-03 | BUF 3–2 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-15 | BUF 4–3 VGK | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-01-04 | BUF 1–3 VGK | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-27 | BUF 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-15 | BUF 3–0 SJS | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-02-18 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-12-04 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-01-06 | BUF 2–3 SJS | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2021-11-02 | BUF 3–5 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2018-11-27 | BUF 3–2 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2018-10-18 | BUF 1–5 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tage Thompson
2games (1 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 16th-most FP to CLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.6 ptsOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tage Thompson or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tage Thompson projects to 2.26 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Thompson had 81 points in 81 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tage Thompson or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tage Thompson leads in 18 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Thompson and Hertl done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Thompson's team went 9–5. Thompson had 8 points (2 goals) and Hertl had 8 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Thompson or Hertl?
- Against each other, Thompson has won 17 and Hertl 25 of their 42 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →