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Who to start · 2025-26

Thomas Harley vs Trevor Zegras

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Harley has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Harley for 2.2 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Harley's biggest edges: Blocked shots 148, Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Penalty minutes 62, Transition attempts /60 1.69.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Thomas Harley has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHarleyZegras
Goals (+2)0.160.57
Assists (+1)0.400.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.19
Hits (+0.1)0.060.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Harley vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HarleyZegras
3Team record in 6 meetings3
4Points in those games4

Harley 2G 2A, 10 SOG · Zegras 2G 2A, 14 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other3

Harley blocked 0 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 3 of Harley's.

On the ice against each other (Harley's side)

3:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Harley's side

Shot attempts
4–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Thomas Harley and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreHarleyZegras
2026-03-29DAL 1–2 PHI0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2025-03-18DAL 4–3 ANA1G 2A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-04DAL 1–2 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-11-18DAL 2–4 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-19DAL 3–2 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-04-29DAL 4–2 ANA1G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HarleyZegras

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Thomas Harley or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Thomas Harley projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Thomas Harley or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Harley and Zegras done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Harley's team went 3–3. Harley had 4 points (2 goals) and Zegras had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →