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Who to start · 2025-26

Thomas Harley vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82.

Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Harley has 1 game left; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Harley's 2.2.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.

Harley's biggest edges: Plus/minus +3, High-danger chances 51.0%, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Hardest shot 94.2, Penalty minutes 54.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Thomas Harley

1.82

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHarleyDunn
Goals (+2)0.160.38
Assists (+1)0.400.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.050.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.22
Hits (+0.1)0.060.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Harley vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HarleyDunn
10Team record in 14 meetings4
10Points in those games7

Harley 2G 8A, 18 SOG · Dunn 0G 7A, 24 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

Harley blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Harley's.

On the ice against each other (Harley's side)

13:01 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Harley's side

Shot attempts
9–11
45.0%
Expected goals
0.7–0.6
56.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Thomas Harley and Vince Dunn
DateScoreHarleyDunn
2026-02-25DAL 4–1 SEA0G 2A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-11-09DAL 2–1 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-31DAL 3–1 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-29DAL 5–1 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-18DAL 4–3 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-05-15 · PODAL 2–1 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-05-13 · PODAL 3–6 SEA0G 1A 0S0G 1A 3S
2023-05-11 · PODAL 5–2 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-05-09 · PODAL 6–3 SEA1G 1A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-05-07 · PODAL 2–7 SEA0G 0A 1S0G 1A 0S
2023-05-04 · PODAL 4–2 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-05-02 · PODAL 4–5 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HarleyDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Thomas Harley

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Thomas Harley or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Thomas Harley's 1.82. Harley had 36 points in 70 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Thomas Harley or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Harley and Dunn done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Harley's team went 10–4. Harley had 10 points (2 goals) and Dunn had 7 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →