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Who to start · 2025-26

Timo Meier vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Meier has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Meier for 1.9 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Timo Meier has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Meier's biggest edges: Corsi 54.3%, Fenwick 54.0%, Hardest shot 94.3.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Timo Meier

1.81

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Timo Meier has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMeierTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.620.61
Assists (+1)0.260.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.170.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.340.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Meier vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MeierTarasenko
14Team record in 29 meetings15
15Points in those games20

Meier 5G 10A, 82 SOG · Tarasenko 10G 10A, 76 SOG

2Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Meier blocked 0 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Meier's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Meier's side)

2:40 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Meier's side

Shot attempts
5–6
45.5%
Expected goals
0.2–0.4
39.5%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Timo Meier and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreMeierTarasenko
2026-01-12NJD 5–2 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-22NJD 4–1 MIN0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-29NJD 5–4 DET1G 1A 5S1G 1A 4S
2024-10-24NJD 3–5 DET0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-29NJD 6–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-05-01 · PONJD 4–0 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-29 · PONJD 2–5 NYR0G 0A 6S1G 1A 3S
2023-04-27 · PONJD 4–0 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-24 · PONJD 3–1 NYR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-22 · PONJD 2–1 NYR0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2023-04-20 · PONJD 1–5 NYR0G 0A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-04-18 · PONJD 1–5 NYR0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 29 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MeierTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Timo Meier or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Timo Meier projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Meier had 44 points in 77 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Timo Meier or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Timo Meier leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Meier and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 29 games against each other in our data, Meier's team went 14–15. Meier had 15 points (5 goals) and Tarasenko had 20 (10 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →