Who to start · 2025-26
Tom Wilson vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Wilson has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left. We project Wilson for 2.2 ESPN points to Hertl's 1.8.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, Plus/minus +15, Goals above expected +2.0.
Hertl's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 720, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Wilson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Wilson vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Wilson 3G 4A, 26 SOG · Hertl 5G 4A, 33 SOG
Wilson's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Wilson's defensive zone 0–0 (2019-20)
Wilson blocked 0 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Wilson's.
On the ice against each other (Wilson's side)
3:53 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Wilson's side
- Shot attempts
- 2–3
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.0
- 0.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Wilson | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | WSH 5–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-02-27 | WSH 3–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-17 | WSH 5–2 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-15 | WSH 4–2 VGK | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-10-29 | WSH 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-04 | WSH 8–3 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-01-26 | WSH 1–4 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-11-20 | WSH 4–0 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2020-01-05 | WSH 5–4 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-12-03 | WSH 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-02-14 | WSH 5–1 SJS | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-01-22 | WSH 6–7 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 3G 1A 7S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.2 pts
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tom Wilson or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tom Wilson or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Wilson and Hertl done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Wilson's team went 12–2. Wilson had 7 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 9 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Wilson or Hertl?
- Against each other, Wilson has won 0 and Hertl 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →