Who to start · 2025-26
Tom Wilson vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.
Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Wilson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, High-danger chances 56.3%, Fenwick 55.8%.
Dunn's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.34, Ascension score 54.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Wilson | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.78 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Wilson vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Wilson 3G 3A, 25 SOG · Dunn 1G 1A, 11 SOG
Wilson blocked 1 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 0 of Wilson's.
On the ice against each other (Wilson's side)
8:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Wilson's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–12
- 50.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.8
- 43.5%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Wilson | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | WSH 1–5 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4–1 SEA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4–2 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-23 | WSH 3–0 SEA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-03-05 | WSH 5–2 SEA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-21 | WSH 2–5 SEA | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-10-02 | WSH 3–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-01-14 | WSH 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2019-01-03 | WSH 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2018-04-02 | WSH 4–2 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tom Wilson or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Wilson had 62 points in 72 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tom Wilson or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Wilson and Dunn done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Wilson's team went 6–4. Wilson had 6 points (3 goals) and Dunn had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →