Who to start · 2025-26
Tomas Hertl vs Vince Dunn
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83.
Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.
This week Hertl has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.
Tomas Hertl has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Fenwick 55.5%, Corsi 56.2%.
Dunn's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1012, Luck Meter +4, Goals above expected −0.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Vince Dunn
1.83
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tomas Hertl has the edge.
| Points per game from | Hertl | Dunn |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.30 | 0.53 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Hertl vs Dunn
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Hertl 3G 14A, 40 SOG · Dunn 5G 11A, 40 SOG
Hertl blocked 3 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 2 of Hertl's.
On the ice against each other (Hertl's side)
16:39 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Hertl's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–16
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.8
- 29.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Hertl | Dunn |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | VGK 4–1 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2026-04-09 | VGK 3–4 SEA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2026-01-31 | VGK 2–3 SEA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | VGK 1–2 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | VGK 2–1 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-21 | VGK 6–2 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-22 | SJS 1–7 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-16 | SJS 1–2 SEA | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-23 | SJS 5–8 SEA | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-02-27 | SJS 3–1 SEA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-01-20 | SJS 2–3 SEA | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-12-14 | SJS 1–3 SEA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 26 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Vince Dunn
3games (2 left)
3.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tomas Hertl or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tomas Hertl projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vince Dunn's 1.83. Hertl had 58 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tomas Hertl or Vince Dunn?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Hertl and Dunn done against each other?
- In 26 games against each other in our data, Hertl's team went 10–16. Hertl had 17 points (3 goals) and Dunn had 16 (5 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →