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Who to start · 2025-26

Trevor Zegras vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Zegras had 67 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Zegras has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Zegras for 1.2 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Zegras's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 62, High-danger chances 56.6%, Corsi 49.6%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, Hardest shot 84.5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Trevor Zegras

1.73

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Trevor Zegras has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromZegrasTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.640.61
Assists (+1)0.510.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.20
Hits (+0.1)0.060.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Zegras vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

ZegrasTarasenko
5Team record in 8 meetings3
4Points in those games4

Zegras 1G 3A, 10 SOG · Tarasenko 2G 2A, 15 SOG

On the ice against each other (Zegras's side)

6:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Zegras's side

Shot attempts
12–3
80.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.2
69.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Trevor Zegras and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreZegrasTarasenko
2026-03-12PHI 3–2 MIN0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-18PHI 2–1 MIN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 1S
2025-02-23ANA 4–5 DET0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-15ANA 6–4 DET1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-04-24ANA 3–6 STL0G 1A 0S1G 1A 4S
2021-12-12ANA 3–2 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2021-05-03ANA 1–3 STL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2021-03-26ANA 4–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

ZegrasTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.9 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Trevor Zegras or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Trevor Zegras projects to 1.53 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Zegras had 67 points in 81 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Trevor Zegras or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Zegras and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Zegras's team went 5–3. Zegras had 4 points (1 goals) and Tarasenko had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →