Who to start · 2025-26
Tyler Toffoli vs Vladimir Tarasenko
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.
This week Toffoli has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Toffoli for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 16 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Hardest shot 89.2, Transition attempts /60 1.64.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.37, Forecheck xG /60 0.28.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Tyler Toffoli
1.43
fantasy points per game
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Toffoli | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Toffoli vs Tarasenko
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Toffoli 7G 4A, 41 SOG · Tarasenko 7G 6A, 39 SOG
Toffoli blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Toffoli's.
On the ice against each other (Toffoli's side)
10:35 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Toffoli's side
- Shot attempts
- 15–8
- 65.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 51.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Toffoli | Tarasenko |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4–3 MIN | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-11 | SJS 2–1 MIN | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-26 | SJS 6–5 MIN | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-01-14 | SJS 6–3 DET | 1G 2A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2024-11-18 | SJS 5–4 DET | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-12-29 | NJD 6–2 OTT | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-02-18 | CGY 3–2 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-12-16 | CGY 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-02 | CGY 4–6 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2019-10-24 | LAK 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2019-03-07 | LAK 0–4 STL | 0G 0A 5S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2019-01-21 | LAK 4–3 STL | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
Latest 12 of 16 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.4 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Tyler Toffoli or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vladimir Tarasenko projects to 1.52 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Toffoli had 49 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Tyler Toffoli or Vladimir Tarasenko?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 16 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Toffoli and Tarasenko done against each other?
- In 16 games against each other in our data, Toffoli's team went 10–6. Toffoli had 11 points (7 goals) and Tarasenko had 13 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →