Who to start · 2025-26
Vladimir Tarasenko vs Will Smith
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.
Tarasenko had 47 points in 75 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.
This week Tarasenko has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Smith for 1.9 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.
Will Smith has the better number in 24 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Tarasenko's biggest edges: Blocked shots 33, Hits 60, High-danger chances 49.3%.
Smith's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 68.9%, Transition attempts /60 2.05, Hardest shot 90.3.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Vladimir Tarasenko
1.52
fantasy points per game
Will Smith
1.68
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Will Smith has the edge.
| Points per game from | Tarasenko | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Tarasenko vs Smith
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Tarasenko 2G 1A, 5 SOG · Smith 1G 1A, 6 SOG
On the ice against each other (Tarasenko's side)
6:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Tarasenko's side
- Shot attempts
- 6–15
- 28.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.3
- 46.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Tarasenko | Smith |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5–6 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | DET 3–6 SJS | 2G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-11-18 | DET 4–5 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Vladimir Tarasenko
2games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 ptsOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Will Smith
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Vladimir Tarasenko or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Will Smith projects to 1.94 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Tarasenko had 47 points in 75 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Vladimir Tarasenko or Will Smith?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Will Smith leads in 24 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Tarasenko and Smith done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Tarasenko's team went 0–4. Tarasenko had 3 points (2 goals) and Smith had 2 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →