Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fantilli vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Fantilli has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fantilli for 1.6 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Adam Fantilli has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Fantilli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 73.2%, Offensive-zone time 43.6%, Hits 139.

Provorov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +14, Goals above expected +0.7, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fantilli

1.83

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fantilli has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFantilliProvorov
Goals (+2)0.590.22
Assists (+1)0.430.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.080.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.19
Hits (+0.1)0.170.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fantilli vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FantilliProvorov
1Shots blocked by the other0

Fantilli blocked 1 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 0 of Fantilli's.

9Goals set up by the other4

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

519:37 at 5-on-5 over 82 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
526–486
52.0%
Expected goals
24.2–20.9
53.6%
Goals
26–19

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FantilliProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fantilli

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to CLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fantilli or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fantilli projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Fantilli had 59 points in 82 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fantilli or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fantilli leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →