Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Eeli Tolvanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.2.

Adam Fox has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: High-danger chances 64.3%, Faceoffs won 0, Scoring chances 59.9%.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Hardest shot 92.8, Hits 187, Ascension score 57.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.270.48
Assists (+1)0.830.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.17
Hits (+0.1)0.040.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Adam Fox and Eeli Tolvanen have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to D
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to D
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RW
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Eeli Tolvanen's 1.71. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →