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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Ivan Provorov

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Provorov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Provorov's 1.1.

Adam Fox has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 48.0%, Offensive-zone start % 52.7%, Fenwick 54.2%.

Provorov's biggest edges: Hardest shot 97.1, 20+ mph bursts 56, Blocked shots 134.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.24

fantasy points per game

Ivan Provorov

1.56

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxProvorov
Goals (+2)0.330.22
Assists (+1)0.800.27
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.19
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.82

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Provorov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxProvorov
15Team record in 26 meetings11
22Points in those games9

Fox 1G 21A, 56 SOG · Provorov 1G 8A, 46 SOG

0Hits on each other1
7Shots blocked by the other1

Fox blocked 7 of Provorov's shots; Provorov blocked 1 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

28:25 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
41–15
73.2%
Expected goals
1.2–0.3
79.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Ivan Provorov
DateScoreFoxProvorov
2026-03-19NYR 3–6 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-02NYR 4–5 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-15NYR 2–1 CBJ0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-15NYR 4–0 CBJ0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-08NYR 4–3 CBJ0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-18NYR 1–0 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-28NYR 4–1 CBJ1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-25NYR 2–4 CBJ0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S
2023-10-14NYR 3–5 CBJ0G 2A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-01NYR 3–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-17NYR 6–3 PHI0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-01NYR 1–0 PHI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxProvorov

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Ivan Provorov

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Ivan Provorov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ivan Provorov's 1.56. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Provorov had 31 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Ivan Provorov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Provorov done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 15–11. Fox had 22 points (1 goals) and Provorov had 9 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →