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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Nathan MacKinnon

Adam FoxAdam FoxRangers · DefencevsNathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonAvalanche · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041, Shorthanded points 1, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.14.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, Hardest shot 91.0, 20+ mph bursts 455.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.271.49
Assists (+1)0.830.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.46
Hits (+0.1)0.040.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMacKinnon
3Team record in 9 meetings6
5Points in those games13

Fox 1G 4A, 16 SOG · MacKinnon 5G 8A, 39 SOG

1Hits on each other0
2Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 2 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 0 of Fox's.

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

7:15 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
2–9
18.2%
Expected goals
0.0–0.4
4.5%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreFoxMacKinnon
2025-11-20NYR 3–6 COL0G 2A 2S2G 1A 4S
2025-01-26NYR 4–5 COL0G 0A 5S0G 2A 1S
2025-01-14NYR 2–3 COL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 4S
2024-03-28NYR 3–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S
2024-02-05NYR 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 7S
2022-10-25NYR 2–3 COL1G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2021-12-14NYR 2–4 COL0G 1A 1S0G 2A 5S
2021-12-08NYR 3–7 COL0G 0A 3S1G 0A 5S
2020-01-07NYR 5–3 COL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Fox's 2.13. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–6. Fox had 5 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 13 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →