Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Fox vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Fox's 1.5.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Fox's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1019, Goals above expected +2.1, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.041.
Aho's biggest edges: Hardest shot 89.2, Penalty minutes 46, 20+ mph bursts 128.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Fox
2.13
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.
| Points per game from | Fox | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.27 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Fox vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Fox 7G 15A, 61 SOG · Aho 13G 23A, 84 SOG
Fox blocked 4 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 3 of Fox's.
On the ice against each other (Fox's side)
10:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–9
- 47.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.4
- 50.8%
- Goals
- 1–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Fox | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYR 4–2 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2025-11-04 | NYR 0–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-04-12 | NYR 3–7 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-01-28 | NYR 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-22 | NYR 1–3 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-27 | NYR 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-05-16 · PO | NYR 5–3 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-05-13 · PO | NYR 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-11 · PO | NYR 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-05-09 · PO | NYR 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-05-07 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 3A 7S |
| 2024-05-05 · PO | NYR 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 34 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Fox
4games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 ptsOpp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Fox or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Fox or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Fox and Aho done against each other?
- In 34 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 19–15. Fox had 22 points (7 goals) and Aho had 36 (13 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →