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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Adam Fox has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Corsi 55.8%, Faceoffs won 0, Scoring chances 59.9%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Hits 60, Hardest shot 84.5, Blocked shots 33.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.24

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.330.61
Assists (+1)0.800.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.220.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.670.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxTarasenko
10Team record in 17 meetings7
21Points in those games7

Fox 2G 19A, 25 SOG · Tarasenko 4G 3A, 38 SOG

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Fox blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 0 of Fox's.

0Goals set up by the other3

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice against each other (Fox's side)

7:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Fox's side

Shot attempts
6–6
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.3
45.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreFoxTarasenko
2026-03-14NYR 4–2 MIN0G 2A 0S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-20NYR 1–3 MIN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-09NYR 4–0 DET0G 2A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-17NYR 5–2 DET0G 3A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-14NYR 4–1 DET0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-06-01 · PONYR 1–2 FLA0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2024-05-30 · PONYR 2–3 FLA0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-28 · PONYR 2–3 FLA0G 2A 1S0G 0A 5S
2024-05-26 · PONYR 5–4 FLA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-05-24 · PONYR 2–1 FLA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-05-22 · PONYR 0–3 FLA0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-03-23NYR 4–3 FLA1G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 10–7. Fox had 21 points (2 goals) and Tarasenko had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →