Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Auston Matthews
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Matthews has 1 left. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Matthews's 2.7.
Auston Matthews has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +38, Hits 110.
Matthews's biggest edges: Power-play share 71.5%, Transition attempts /60 2.09, Offensive-zone time 41.9%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.64
fantasy points per game
Auston Matthews
2.31
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Matthews |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.79 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.63 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Matthews
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 0G 5A, 37 SOG · Matthews 13G 10A, 84 SOG
Larsson blocked 6 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 3 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
18:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–21
- 40.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.8
- 37.6%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Matthews |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | SEA 5–2 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-10-18 | SEA 4–3 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-02-06 | SEA 1–3 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2024-10-31 | SEA 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2024-01-21 | SEA 1–3 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2023-11-30 | SEA 3–4 TOR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-02-26 | SEA 1–5 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2023-01-05 | SEA 5–1 TOR | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2022-03-08 | SEA 4–6 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 3G 0A 4S |
| 2022-02-14 | SEA 2–6 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2021-03-29 | EDM 3–2 TOR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-03-27 | EDM 3–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 7S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Auston Matthews
3games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 14th-most FP to CLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 15th-most FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.7 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Auston Matthews?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Auston Matthews leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Matthews done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 7–13. Larsson had 5 points (0 goals) and Matthews had 23 (13 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →