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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Brandon Hagel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Hagel had 74 in 71 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Hagel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Hagel's 1.8.

Brandon Hagel has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Larsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Faceoffs won 0, Hits 110.

Hagel's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, Corsi 58.5%, Fenwick 57.9%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Brandon Hagel

2.15

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Brandon Hagel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonHagel
Goals (+2)0.160.95
Assists (+1)0.210.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.30
Hits (+0.1)0.160.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.25

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Hagel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonHagel
3Team record in 9 meetings6
3Points in those games17

Larsson 0G 3A, 11 SOG · Hagel 7G 10A, 24 SOG

3Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Larsson blocked 0 of Hagel's shots; Hagel blocked 1 of Larsson's.

On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)

13:12 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side

Shot attempts
8–22
26.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.8
29.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Brandon Hagel
DateScoreLarssonHagel
2026-03-26SEA 4–3 TBL0G 1A 0S0G 1A 5S
2026-03-17SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 2S1G 3A 2S
2025-02-23SEA 1–4 TBL0G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2024-12-14SEA 1–5 TBL0G 0A 2S2G 0A 3S
2023-12-09SEA 3–4 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 3S
2023-10-30SEA 4–3 TBL0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S
2023-01-16SEA 1–4 TBL0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2022-12-13SEA 2–6 TBL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2022-01-17SEA 3–2 CHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonHagel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Brandon Hagel

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Brandon Hagel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Brandon Hagel projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Hagel had 74 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Brandon Hagel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Brandon Hagel leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Larsson and Hagel done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 3–6. Larsson had 3 points (0 goals) and Hagel had 17 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →