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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Larsson vs Eeli Tolvanen

Adam LarssonAdam LarssonKraken · DefencevsEeli TolvanenEeli TolvanenRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.

Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games.

This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Tolvanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Tolvanen's 1.3.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.

Larsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Goals above expected +2.6, Luck Meter +38.

Tolvanen's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Power-play share 47.4%, Transition attempts /60 1.47.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Larsson

1.64

fantasy points per game

Eeli Tolvanen

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Eeli Tolvanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLarssonTolvanen
Goals (+2)0.160.48
Assists (+1)0.210.26
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.07
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.17
Hits (+0.1)0.160.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.990.49

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Larsson vs Tolvanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LarssonTolvanen
2Team record in 2 meetings0
0Points in those games2

Larsson 0G 0A, 4 SOG · Tolvanen 1G 1A, 7 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Larsson blocked 0 of Tolvanen's shots; Tolvanen blocked 1 of Larsson's.

1Goals set up by the other3

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

396:27 at 5-on-5 over 78 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
346–453
43.3%
Expected goals
12.9–16.7
43.6%
Goals
14–18

Games against each other

Games between Adam Larsson and Eeli Tolvanen
DateScoreLarssonTolvanen
2022-03-02SEA 4–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2021-10-14SEA 4–3 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LarssonTolvanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Larsson

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

Eeli Tolvanen

4games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Adam Larsson or Eeli Tolvanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Eeli Tolvanen projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Tolvanen had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Larsson or Eeli Tolvanen?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Larsson and Tolvanen done against each other?
In 2 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 2–0. Larsson had 0 points (0 goals) and Tolvanen had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →