Who to start · 2025-26
Adam Larsson vs Mathew Barzal
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64.
Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games.
This week Larsson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Barzal has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Larsson for 3.7 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.
Mathew Barzal has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Larsson's biggest edges: Hits 110, Goals above expected +2.6, Hardest shot 98.4.
Barzal's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Power-play share 72.3%, Fenwick 51.7%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adam Larsson
1.65
fantasy points per game
Mathew Barzal
1.82
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.
| Points per game from | Larsson | Barzal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.47 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.23 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.99 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Larsson vs Barzal
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Larsson 1G 1A, 22 SOG · Barzal 2G 7A, 24 SOG
Larsson blocked 1 of Barzal's shots; Barzal blocked 0 of Larsson's.
On the ice against each other (Larsson's side)
17:34 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Larsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–19
- 47.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.8
- 50.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Larsson | Barzal |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | SEA 4–1 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-11-23 | SEA 0–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-02-13 | SEA 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-16 | SEA 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-02-07 | SEA 0–4 NYI | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-01-01 | SEA 4–1 NYI | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-02 | SEA 3–0 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-02-22 | SEA 2–5 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2019-02-21 | EDM 4–3 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-02-16 | EDM 2–5 NYI | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2018-03-08 | EDM 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2017-11-07 | EDM 2–1 NYI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adam Larsson
3games (2 left)
3.7proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CGYOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
Mathew Barzal
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TOROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 ptsOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adam Larsson or Mathew Barzal in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adam Larsson's 1.64. Larsson had 25 points in 82 games; Barzal had 72 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adam Larsson or Mathew Barzal?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Larsson and Barzal done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Larsson's team went 8–4. Larsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Barzal had 9 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →