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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Auston Matthews

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Matthews has 1 left. We project Matthews for 2.6 ESPN points to Kempe's 2.1.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Luck Meter +49, Top skating speed 23.7.

Matthews's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 59.7%, Draw Equity /100 +0.103, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.22.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Auston Matthews

2.31

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Auston Matthews has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeMatthews
Goals (+2)0.830.79
Assists (+1)0.430.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.36
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.63

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Matthews

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeMatthews
5Team record in 13 meetings8
6Points in those games14

Kempe 4G 2A, 30 SOG · Matthews 6G 8A, 57 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other4

Kempe's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 2–0 · Kempe's defensive zone 1–1 (2017-18 to 2023-24)

1Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other3

Kempe blocked 0 of Matthews's shots; Matthews blocked 3 of Kempe's.

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Auston Matthews
DateScoreKempeMatthews
2025-03-29LAK 1–3 TOR0G 0A 2S1G 1A 8S
2024-10-16LAK 2–6 TOR0G 0A 4S1G 2A 4S
2024-01-02LAK 0–3 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-31LAK 4–1 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-12-08LAK 0–5 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 6S
2022-10-29LAK 4–2 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2021-11-24LAK 2–6 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 6S
2021-11-08LAK 5–1 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2020-03-05LAK 1–0 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 4S
2019-11-05LAK 1–3 TOR0G 0A 0S1G 1A 2S
2018-10-15LAK 1–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2017-11-02LAK 5–3 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 1A 6S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeMatthews

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts

Auston Matthews

3games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT2.6 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Auston Matthews in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Auston Matthews projects to 2.31 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Matthews had 53 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Auston Matthews?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Matthews done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 5–8. Kempe had 6 points (4 goals) and Matthews had 14 (6 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Matthews?
Against each other, Kempe has won 5 and Matthews 4 of their 9 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →