Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Collin Graf

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Graf has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Graf's 1.4.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.3, Penalty minutes 58, Fenwick 52.0%.

Graf's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.32, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.021, Forecheck xG /60 0.25.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Collin Graf

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeGraf
Goals (+2)0.830.49
Assists (+1)0.430.29
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.14
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.31

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Graf

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeGraf
2Team record in 4 meetings2
4Points in those games2

Kempe 3G 1A, 11 SOG · Graf 0G 2A, 2 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

2:16 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
2–2
50.0%
Expected goals
0.1–0.0
89.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Collin Graf
DateScoreKempeGraf
2026-01-07LAK 3–4 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-20LAK 3–4 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 2A 0S
2025-10-28LAK 4–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-30LAK 8–1 SJS2G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeGraf

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Collin Graf

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Collin Graf in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Collin Graf's 1.35. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Graf had 46 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Collin Graf?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Graf done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 2–2. Kempe had 4 points (3 goals) and Graf had 2 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →