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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Colton Parayko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Parayko has 1 left. We project Parayko for 2.0 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.5, Luck Meter +49, Plus/minus +14.

Parayko's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.14, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Colton Parayko

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeParayko
Goals (+2)0.830.10
Assists (+1)0.430.23
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.14
Hits (+0.1)0.160.12
Blocks (+0.5)0.231.14

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Parayko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeParayko
12Team record in 25 meetings13
18Points in those games9

Kempe 11G 7A, 63 SOG · Parayko 2G 7A, 41 SOG

2Hits on each other4
0Shots blocked by the other4

Kempe blocked 0 of Parayko's shots; Parayko blocked 4 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

18:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
16–20
44.4%
Expected goals
0.5–0.9
34.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Colton Parayko
DateScoreKempeParayko
2026-04-01LAK 2–1 STL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-24LAK 5–4 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-21LAK 2–1 STL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-05LAK 2–3 STL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2025-03-01LAK 1–4 STL0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-03-13LAK 1–3 STL1G 0A 8S0G 1A 2S
2024-01-28LAK 3–4 STL1G 0A 4S0G 1A 2S
2023-11-18LAK 5–1 STL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-26LAK 7–6 STL2G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-04LAK 4–2 STL1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-03LAK 3–2 STL1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeParayko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Colton Parayko

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to DLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Colton Parayko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Colton Parayko's 1.73. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Parayko had 18 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Colton Parayko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Parayko done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 12–13. Kempe had 18 points (11 goals) and Parayko had 9 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →