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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Jake Guentzel

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Guentzel has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kempe for 1.6 ESPN points to Guentzel's 1.5.

Jake Guentzel has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.3, Top skating speed 23.7, Hits 127.

Guentzel's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.32, High-danger chances 55.6%, Scoring chances 56.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Jake Guentzel

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Guentzel has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeGuentzel
Goals (+2)0.830.88
Assists (+1)0.430.58
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.28
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Guentzel

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeGuentzel
6Team record in 14 meetings8
14Points in those games13

Kempe 9G 5A, 45 SOG · Guentzel 4G 9A, 40 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

6:25 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
3–12
20.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
59.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Jake Guentzel
DateScoreKempeGuentzel
2026-01-01LAK 3–5 TBL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2025-12-18LAK 2–1 TBL2G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-30LAK 0–3 TBL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-04LAK 2–1 TBL1G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2023-11-09LAK 3–4 PIT1G 0A 8S1G 0A 5S
2023-02-11LAK 6–0 PIT4G 0A 7S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-20LAK 1–6 PIT0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2022-01-30LAK 4–3 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 1A 6S
2022-01-13LAK 6–2 PIT0G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-14LAK 4–5 PIT0G 1A 3S0G 3A 1S
2019-01-12LAK 5–2 PIT0G 0A 4S2G 0A 6S
2018-12-15LAK 3–4 PIT0G 1A 0S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeGuentzel

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −3.2 win%Likely vs Yaroslav Askarov (.884)

Jake Guentzel

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs WSH1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Charlie Lindgren (.879)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Jake Guentzel in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Guentzel projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Guentzel had 88 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Jake Guentzel?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Guentzel leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Guentzel done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 6–8. Kempe had 14 points (9 goals) and Guentzel had 13 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →