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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Mario Ferraro

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has no games left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Kempe's 0.0.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Top skating speed 23.7, Offensive-zone time 43.4%.

Ferraro's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.21, Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.25.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 2 PPP, 9 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.17

fantasy points per game

Mario Ferraro

1.71

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeFerraro
Goals (+2)0.900.29
Assists (+1)0.460.18
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.13
Hits (+0.1)0.160.16
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.95

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Ferraro

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeFerraro
11Team record in 24 meetings13
18Points in those games5

Kempe 9G 9A, 69 SOG · Ferraro 0G 5A, 24 SOG

2Hits on each other3
3Shots blocked by the other10

Kempe blocked 3 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 10 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

13:31 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
15–22
40.5%
Expected goals
0.3–1.3
17.9%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Mario Ferraro
DateScoreKempeFerraro
2026-01-07LAK 3–4 SJS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-20LAK 3–4 SJS1G 0A 5S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-28LAK 4–3 SJS0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-30LAK 8–1 SJS2G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-25LAK 2–7 SJS0G 2A 4S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-29LAK 2–4 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2024-10-24LAK 3–2 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-04LAK 2–1 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-22LAK 3–4 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-27LAK 5–1 SJS2G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-19LAK 4–1 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-01-11LAK 4–3 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 24 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeFerraro

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (0 left)

0.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWLikely vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to RW

Mario Ferraro

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mario Ferraro's 1.71. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Mario Ferraro?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Ferraro done against each other?
In 24 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 11–13. Kempe had 18 points (9 goals) and Ferraro had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →