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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Parker Kelly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Kelly has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Kelly's 1.4.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: Power-play share 70.3%, Power-play time per game 2:58, Transition attempts /60 1.93.

Kelly's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.46, High-danger chances 58.5%, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.01

fantasy points per game

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeKelly
Goals (+2)0.830.61
Assists (+1)0.430.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.13
Hits (+0.1)0.160.22
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.33

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Kelly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeKelly
4Team record in 15 meetings11
11Points in those games2

Kempe 3G 8A, 42 SOG · Kelly 1G 1A, 14 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other2

Kempe blocked 0 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 2 of Kempe's.

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

30:05 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
34–37
47.9%
Expected goals
1.1–0.7
62.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Parker Kelly
DateScoreKempeKelly
2026-09-30LAK 4–8 COL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2026-04-26 · POLAK 1–5 COL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-23 · POLAK 2–4 COL1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-21 · POLAK 1–2 COL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-19 · POLAK 1–2 COL0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-02LAK 2–4 COL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-29LAK 2–5 COL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-07LAK 1–4 COL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-12LAK 5–4 COL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-27LAK 0–4 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-13LAK 2–4 COL2G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-11-02LAK 3–2 OTT0G 2A 7S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeKelly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Parker Kelly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Kelly done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 4–11. Kempe had 11 points (3 goals) and Kelly had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →