Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left; Buchnevich has 1 left. We project Kempe for 2.1 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.4.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.7, Transition attempts /60 1.93, Plus/minus +14.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.31, Expected goals 52.5%, Sequence xG 52.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Adrian Kempe has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 12G 7A, 60 SOG · Buchnevich 3G 6A, 38 SOG
Kempe's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–1 · Kempe's defensive zone 0–1 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Kempe blocked 0 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
17:24 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–13
- 43.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.7
- 29.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | LAK 2–1 STL | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-01-24 | LAK 5–4 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-10-21 | LAK 2–1 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-08 | LAK 2–1 STL | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-05 | LAK 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-03-01 | LAK 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-13 | LAK 1–3 STL | 1G 0A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-28 | LAK 3–4 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2023-11-18 | LAK 5–1 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-03-26 | LAK 7–6 STL | 2G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-04 | LAK 4–2 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2022-10-31 | LAK 5–1 STL | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adrian Kempe projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 13–7. Kempe had 19 points (12 goals) and Buchnevich had 9 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kempe or Buchnevich?
- Against each other, Kempe has won 1 and Buchnevich 2 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →