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Who to start · 2025-26

Adrian Kempe vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.

Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Kempe has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Kempe's 2.1.

Adrian Kempe has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Kempe's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Luck Meter +49, Goals above expected +4.5.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.40, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adrian Kempe

2.11

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKempeJarvis
Goals (+2)0.890.90
Assists (+1)0.460.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.070.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.32
Hits (+0.1)0.160.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kempe vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KempeJarvis
3Team record in 9 meetings6
9Points in those games5

Kempe 5G 4A, 24 SOG · Jarvis 2G 3A, 17 SOG

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Kempe blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Kempe's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)

8:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side

Shot attempts
9–8
52.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
44.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Adrian Kempe and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreKempeJarvis
2026-02-01LAK 2–3 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-18LAK 3–4 CAR0G 2A 0S1G 0A 6S
2025-03-22LAK 7–2 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-02-01LAK 4–2 CAR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-15LAK 5–2 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-10-14LAK 5–6 CAR0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-31LAK 4–5 CAR2G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-03LAK 2–4 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-20LAK 4–5 CAR2G 0A 4S1G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KempeJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adrian Kempe

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ COL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS2.1 pts

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts

FAQ

Should I start Adrian Kempe or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kempe and Jarvis done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 3–6. Kempe had 9 points (5 goals) and Jarvis had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →