Who to start · 2025-26
Adrian Kempe vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01.
Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Kempe has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Wilson for 2.3 ESPN points to Kempe's 1.6.
Adrian Kempe has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Kempe's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 66.6%, Transition attempts /60 1.93, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.023.
Wilson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.51, High-danger chances 56.3%, Scoring chances 56.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Adrian Kempe
2.01
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kempe | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.83 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kempe vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kempe 3G 4A, 41 SOG · Wilson 2G 2A, 25 SOG
Kempe blocked 0 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 1 of Kempe's.
On the ice against each other (Kempe's side)
12:58 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kempe's side
- Shot attempts
- 10–8
- 55.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.6
- 19.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kempe | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | LAK 1–3 WSH | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-17 | LAK 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-03-13 | LAK 3–0 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-22 | LAK 1–3 WSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-07 | LAK 3–4 WSH | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-11-29 | LAK 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-03-06 | LAK 4–2 WSH | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-11-17 | LAK 0–2 WSH | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2020-02-04 | LAK 2–4 WSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-12-04 | LAK 1–3 WSH | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2019-02-18 | LAK 2–3 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2019-02-11 | LAK 4–6 WSH | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
Latest 12 of 14 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Adrian Kempe
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 @ COLOpp allows 10th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ SJS1.6 ptsOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to RW
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Adrian Kempe or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Adrian Kempe's 2.01. Kempe had 73 points in 81 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Adrian Kempe or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Adrian Kempe leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kempe and Wilson done against each other?
- In 14 games against each other in our data, Kempe's team went 4–10. Kempe had 7 points (3 goals) and Wilson had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →