Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Alexis Lafrenière
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Lafrenière had 57 in 82 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Lafrenière has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrincat for 2.3 ESPN points to Lafrenière's 1.2.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Plus/minus +8, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
Lafrenière's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.8%, Scoring chances 54.3%, Offensive-zone start % 61.0%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Alexis Lafrenière
1.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Lafrenière |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.34 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Lafrenière
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 2G 3A, 40 SOG · Lafrenière 2G 6A, 25 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–0 (2026-27)
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
18:18 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 11–10
- 52.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.5
- 35.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Lafrenière |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | DET 0–2 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-04 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-16 | DET 2–1 NYR | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-07 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-11-09 | DET 0–4 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-10-17 | DET 2–5 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-14 | DET 1–4 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-05 | DET 3–4 NYR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-29 | DET 2–3 NYR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2023-11-07 | DET 3–5 NYR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-02 | OTT 5–3 NYR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-02 | OTT 3–2 NYR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Alexis Lafrenière
4games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ BOSOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs TBLOpp allows 6th-most FP to LWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2BOpp allows 13th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Alexis Lafrenière in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Alexis Lafrenière's 1.41. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Lafrenière had 57 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Alexis Lafrenière?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Lafrenière done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 3–12. DeBrincat had 5 points (2 goals) and Lafrenière had 8 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Lafrenière?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and Lafrenière 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →