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Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs MacKenzie Weegar

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Weegar has 2 left with 2 tough matchups. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to DeBrincat's 2.3.

Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060, Plus/minus +8, Luck Meter +17.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Penalty minutes 88, Faceoffs won 0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatWeegar
Goals (+2)0.940.09
Assists (+1)0.500.28
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.20
Hits (+0.1)0.070.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.221.07

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Weegar

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatWeegar
12Team record in 22 meetings10
24Points in those games13

DeBrincat 12G 12A, 62 SOG · Weegar 2G 11A, 62 SOG

4Hits on each other5
1Shots blocked by the other3

DeBrincat blocked 1 of Weegar's shots; Weegar blocked 3 of DeBrincat's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

6:59 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
9–13
40.9%
Expected goals
1.3–0.2
85.0%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and MacKenzie Weegar
DateScoreDeBrincatWeegar
2025-12-10DET 4–3 CGY2G 1A 4S1G 0A 4S
2025-02-01DET 3–1 CGY0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2024-11-27DET 2–1 CGY1G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2024-02-17DET 5–0 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-10-22DET 6–2 CGY3G 1A 5S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-12OTT 1–5 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 0A 4S
2023-02-13OTT 4–3 CGY1G 1A 5S0G 1A 5S
2022-03-31CHI 0–4 FLA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 5S
2022-02-20CHI 2–5 FLA0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2021-05-01CHI 4–5 FLA1G 1A 3S0G 0A 4S
2021-04-29CHI 3–4 FLA1G 0A 5S0G 2A 2S
2021-03-25CHI 3–0 FLA0G 1A 5S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatWeegar

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or MacKenzie Weegar in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to MacKenzie Weegar's 1.93. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Weegar had 28 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or MacKenzie Weegar?
On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Weegar done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 12–10. DeBrincat had 24 points (12 goals) and Weegar had 13 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →