Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Alex DeBrincat vs Mattias Ekholm

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games.

This week DeBrincat has 1 game left; Ekholm has 1 left. We project DeBrincat for 1.9 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.4.

Mattias Ekholm has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrincat's biggest edges: Goals above expected −0.7, Power-play time per game 3:17, Power-play share 67.4%.

Ekholm's biggest edges: High-danger chances 58.3%, Faceoffs won 0, Scoring chances 57.3%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Alex DeBrincat

2.20

fantasy points per game

Mattias Ekholm

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBrincatEkholm
Goals (+2)0.940.13
Assists (+1)0.500.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.02
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.330.15
Hits (+0.1)0.070.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Ekholm

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBrincatEkholm
10Team record in 31 meetings21
17Points in those games19

DeBrincat 10G 7A, 90 SOG · Ekholm 3G 16A, 57 SOG

6Hits on each other4
0Shots blocked by the other2

DeBrincat blocked 0 of Ekholm's shots; Ekholm blocked 2 of DeBrincat's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)

6:54 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side

Shot attempts
8–1
88.9%
Expected goals
0.4–0.0
90.2%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Alex DeBrincat and Mattias Ekholm
DateScoreDeBrincatEkholm
2025-12-11DET 1–4 EDM0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-10-19DET 4–2 EDM0G 0A 5S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-30DET 3–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-27DET 2–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 2A 1S
2024-02-13DET 4–8 EDM1G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2024-01-11DET 2–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-14OTT 3–6 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 1A 0S
2023-01-09OTT 0–3 NSH0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-10OTT 3–2 NSH1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-04-16CHI 3–4 NSH0G 2A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-01-01CHI 1–6 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 3A 1S
2021-12-17CHI 2–3 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 31 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBrincatEkholm

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Alex DeBrincat

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs NYR
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG1.9 pts

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Mattias Ekholm in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Ekholm had 41 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Mattias Ekholm?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mattias Ekholm leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrincat and Ekholm done against each other?
In 31 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 10–21. DeBrincat had 17 points (10 goals) and Ekholm had 19 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →