Who to start · 2025-26
Alex DeBrincat vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week DeBrincat has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Frost has 2 left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to DeBrincat's 2.3.
Alex DeBrincat has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
DeBrincat's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Sequence xG 53.3%, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.060.
Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Faceoffs won 601, Goals above expected +3.0.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Alex DeBrincat
2.20
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Alex DeBrincat has the edge.
| Points per game from | DeBrincat | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.94 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.50 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: DeBrincat vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
DeBrincat 7G 8A, 42 SOG · Frost 2G 1A, 21 SOG
DeBrincat's offensive zone 0–2 · neutral 1–1 · DeBrincat's defensive zone 0–1 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
DeBrincat blocked 0 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 1 of DeBrincat's.
On the ice against each other (DeBrincat's side)
8:11 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from DeBrincat's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–13
- 35.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 42.6%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | DeBrincat | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | DET 5–2 CGY | 0G 3A 6S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-10 | DET 4–3 CGY | 2G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-01 | DET 3–1 CGY | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-21 | DET 1–2 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6–4 PHI | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-12 | DET 1–4 PHI | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-25 | DET 3–0 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-22 | DET 7–6 PHI | 0G 3A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-16 | DET 0–1 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-30 | OTT 5–4 PHI | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-11-12 | OTT 4–1 PHI | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-11-05 | OTT 1–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Alex DeBrincat
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Alex DeBrincat or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Alex DeBrincat projects to 2.20 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. DeBrincat had 85 points in 82 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Alex DeBrincat or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Alex DeBrincat leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have DeBrincat and Frost done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, DeBrincat's team went 9–4. DeBrincat had 15 points (7 goals) and Frost had 3 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrincat or Frost?
- Against each other, DeBrincat has won 1 and Frost 4 of their 5 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →